PerformanceSignal Audited Third Part Results

The following is our third party verified results from TimerTrac. The
graph reflects the actual signals as applied to the mutual funds or
ETF’s outlined in the legend below. TimerTrac is a subscription
based service that provides objective and verifiable third party results of
stock market strategies from professional Registered Investment Advisors
and and market timers.
There is no way to manipulate the results, the signals are sent to TimerTrac as they would be sent to a client then TimerTrac
graphs the results.
Results from 8/21/06 through 10/24/08 (up to date results available to
subscribers only). Why do we use this starting date?
Because 8/21/06 is when we started with TimerTrac using the newest
version of PerformanceSignal PSI V.3.

Past performance is
not necessarily indicative of future results
Click here to see how even a 2% increased annual return can double your
retirement!
Legend
Blue Line labeled Performance Signal
(strategy 4) is long only using the ProFunds Nasdaq 100 index fund during BUY signals and a Money Market fund during CASH and SELL signals.
Red line is the actual buy and hold
performance of the S&P 500 index.
Why do we show the results against the S&P 500? Because the S&P 500
represents the stock market average return and most people’s retirement
mutual funds are in reality, some variation of the S&P 500 index.
It should be noted that we purposefully show the results using funds
that mirror the Nasdaq 100 index because, although all stock indexes
have shown improved results using PerformanceSignal alerts over a buy
and hold strategy, our signals are optimized for trading against the
Nasdaq 100 index and our clients get the benefits of the performance without
the added risk of buying and holding the index.
Risk verses Reward
Our results reflect better than average returns with no individual company
risk and limited downside, according to TimerTrac we were able to use
ProFunds Nasdaq100 index fund in our long-only strategy (strategy 4) to get
a 29.78% return between 8/21/06 and 10/24/08 compared to a negative 34%
return for the S&P 500 index and yet it was accomplished with a Beta of 0.26.
Beta is a way to measure risk in your investment against another index. The
broad market as represented by the S&P 500 index has a Beta of 1.00, so we
stayed positive and significantly beat the return of the broad market with
less risk
of buying and holding the S&P 500 index.
Check out the statistics
below from TimerTrac and especially look at the worst and best
months/quarters to see how we get better gains without accepting any more
monthly or quarterly draw down.
Statistics
Period 8/21/2006 through 10/24/2008
| Month |
S&P 500 |
Performance Signal |
|
| Aug 2006 |
0.49 |
1.45 |
|
| Sep 2006 |
2.45 |
4.38 |
|
| Oct 2006 |
3.16 |
4.31 |
|
| Nov 2006 |
1.65 |
3.93 |
|
| Dec 2006 |
1.26 |
0.32 |
|
| Jan 2007 |
1.41 |
0.36 |
|
| Feb 2007 |
-2.19 |
0.33 |
|
| Mar 2007 |
1.01 |
0.38 |
|
| Apr 2007 |
4.33 |
0.34 |
|
| May 2007 |
3.26 |
3.26 |
|
| Jun 2007 |
-1.79 |
0.39 |
|
| Jul 2007 |
-3.19 |
0.00 |
|
| Aug 2007 |
1.28 |
-1.26 |
|
| Sep 2007 |
3.58 |
2.63 |
|
| Oct 2007 |
1.48 |
3.11 |
|
| Nov 2007 |
-4.40 |
2.93 |
|
| Dec 2007 |
-0.86 |
-0.32 |
|
| Jan 2008 |
-6.12 |
-5.96 |
|
| Feb 2008 |
-3.47 |
-2.34 |
|
| Mar 2208 |
-0.59 |
3.62 |
|
| Apr 2008 |
4.76 |
7.51 |
|
| May 2008 |
1.07 |
4.23 |
|
| Jun 2008 |
-8.60 |
0.18 |
|
| July 2008 |
-0.98 |
0.20 |
|
| Aug 2008 |
-1.22 |
-1.04 |
|
| Sep 2008 |
-9.08 |
-3.62 |
|
| Oct 2008 |
-24.83 |
0.16 |
|
| Average |
-1.25 |
1.01 |
|
| Best Month |
4.76 |
7.51 |
|
| Worst Month |
-24.83 |
-5.96 |
|
| Quarterly Return |
|
|
|
| 3rd Q 2006 |
2.95 |
5.89 |
|
| 4th Q 2006 |
6.18 |
8.57 |
|
| 1st Q 2007 |
0.18 |
1.07 |
|
| 2nd Q 2007 |
5.8 |
4.02 |
|
| 3rd Q 2007 |
1.56 |
1.34 |
|
| 4th Q 2007 |
-2.99 |
6.32 |
|
| 1st Q 2008 |
-9.92 |
-4.84 |
|
| 2nd Q 2008 |
-3.23 |
12.26 |
|
| 3rd Q 2008 |
-8.88 |
-4.43 |
|
| 4th Q 2008 |
-3.40 |
0.16 |
|
| Average |
-3.40 |
2.77 |
|
| Best Quarter |
6.18 |
12.26 |
|
| Worst Quarter |
-24.83 |
-4.84 |
|
Annual Returns
Annualized Return -16.47
+12.71
Total Returns
Cumulative Return -32.43
+29.78
Sharpe Ratio
0 0.74
Ulcer Index
0.39 0.52
Beta
1.00 0.26 Bottom line:
No matter how you slice it- better returns with less risk!
With PerformanceSignal you can use funds with a history of out
performance but you can expect to get those results without all of the
volatility/risk. Use our service for even a portion of your portfolio and
make your financial goals achievable. Click
here to view short-term trading results |