Performance Signal  
Step 1Step 2Step 3

 

PerformanceSignal Audited Third Part Results   


The following is our third party verified results from TimerTrac. The graph reflects the actual signals as applied to the mutual funds or ETF’s outlined in the legend below. TimerTrac is a subscription based service that provides objective and verifiable third party results of stock market strategies from professional Registered Investment Advisors and and market timers. There is no way to manipulate the results, the signals are sent to TimerTrac as they would be sent to a client then TimerTrac graphs the results.

Results from 8/21/06 through 10/24/08 (up to date results available to subscribers only). Why do we use this starting date? Because 8/21/06 is when we started with TimerTrac using the newest version of PerformanceSignal PSI V.3.


Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results
Click here to see how even a 2% increased annual return can double your retirement!

Legend

Blue Line labeled Performance Signal (strategy 4) is long only using the ProFunds Nasdaq 100 index fund during BUY signals and a Money Market fund during CASH and SELL signals.

Red line is the actual buy and hold performance of the S&P 500 index.

Why do we show the results against the S&P 500? Because the S&P 500 represents the stock market average return and most people’s retirement mutual funds are in reality, some variation of the S&P 500 index.

It should be noted that we purposefully show the results using funds that mirror the Nasdaq 100 index because, although all stock indexes have shown improved results using PerformanceSignal alerts over a buy and hold strategy, our signals are optimized for trading against the Nasdaq 100 index and our clients get the benefits of the performance without the added risk of buying and holding the index.

Risk verses Reward

Our results reflect better than average returns with no individual company risk and limited downside, according to TimerTrac we were able to use ProFunds Nasdaq100 index fund in our long-only strategy (strategy 4) to get a 29.78% return between 8/21/06 and 10/24/08 compared to a negative 34% return for the S&P 500 index and yet it was accomplished with a Beta of 0.26. Beta is a way to measure risk in your investment against another index. The broad market as represented by the S&P 500 index has a Beta of 1.00, so we stayed positive and significantly beat the return of the broad market with less risk of buying and holding the S&P 500 index. 

Check out the statistics below from TimerTrac and especially look at the worst and best months/quarters to see how we get better gains without accepting any more monthly or quarterly draw down.

Statistics
Period 8/21/2006 through 10/24/2008  

Month S&P 500 Performance Signal
Aug 2006 0.49 1.45  
Sep 2006 2.45 4.38  
Oct 2006 3.16 4.31  
Nov 2006 1.65 3.93  
Dec 2006 1.26 0.32  
Jan 2007 1.41 0.36  
Feb 2007 -2.19 0.33  
Mar 2007 1.01 0.38  
Apr 2007 4.33 0.34  
May 2007 3.26 3.26  
Jun 2007 -1.79 0.39  
Jul 2007 -3.19 0.00  
Aug 2007 1.28 -1.26  
Sep 2007 3.58 2.63
Oct 2007 1.48 3.11  
Nov 2007 -4.40 2.93
Dec 2007 -0.86 -0.32  
Jan 2008 -6.12 -5.96  
Feb 2008 -3.47 -2.34  
Mar 2208 -0.59 3.62  
Apr 2008 4.76 7.51  
May 2008 1.07 4.23  
Jun 2008 -8.60 0.18  
July 2008 -0.98 0.20  
Aug 2008 -1.22 -1.04  
Sep 2008 -9.08 -3.62  
Oct 2008 -24.83 0.16  
Average -1.25 1.01  
Best Month 4.76 7.51  
Worst Month -24.83 -5.96  
Quarterly Return
3rd Q 2006 2.95 5.89  
4th Q 2006 6.18 8.57  
1st Q 2007 0.18 1.07  
2nd Q 2007 5.8 4.02  
3rd Q 2007 1.56 1.34  
4th Q 2007 -2.99 6.32  
1st Q 2008 -9.92 -4.84  
2nd Q 2008 -3.23 12.26  
3rd Q 2008 -8.88 -4.43  
4th Q 2008 -3.40 0.16  
Average -3.40 2.77  
Best Quarter 6.18 12.26  
Worst Quarter -24.83 -4.84  

Annual Returns
Annualized Return      -16.47       +12.71          
Total Returns
Cumulative Return     -32.43       +29.78        
Sharpe Ratio               0           0.74         
Ulcer Index              0.39         0.52         
Beta                          1.00         0.26         

Bottom line: No matter how you slice it- better returns with less risk!
With PerformanceSignal you can use funds with a history of out performance but you can expect to get those results without all of the volatility/risk. Use our service for even a portion of your portfolio and make your financial goals achievable.

Click here to view short-term trading results